**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.** Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月13日米蘭的最高溫度？
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
36°C 13%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
33%
35°C
28%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
36°C 13%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$134 交易量
8%
34°C
$12 交易量
33%
35°C
$70 交易量
28%
36°C
$18 交易量
13%
37°C
$0 交易量
4%
38°C
$17 交易量
2%
39°C or higher
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.**
Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$269結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.**
Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$269結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET**Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Milan’s August 13 peak reflects a moderating heatwave under persistent high pressure, with ensemble models showing afternoon maxima near 34–36°C after hotter conditions on the 11th–12th.** Subsidence warming, light winds, and the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley support these values, while limited moisture and mostly clear skies limit additional intensification. Official guidance from European meteorological centers indicates low thunderstorm risk but some spread in high-resolution runs due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and slight cloud timing. Historical August maxima in Milan average near 30°C, so current anomalies place the most likely outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, with new model updates and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions