**Recent model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 13 near 32–34 °C under continued high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow.** Coastal moderation from the North Sea keeps values below the 35 °C+ readings expected farther inland during the fifth heatwave of the season, while abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Historical August maxima for the city average around 22–23 °C, so current anomalies reflect a pronounced warm-air advection episode that began building earlier in the month. Short-range guidance shows only modest spread, with most ensemble members clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C; any increase in onshore winds or earlier marine-layer development could shave a degree or two, while clearer or drier boundary-layer conditions could push the peak toward 34 °C. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32–34 °C, with 33 °C emerging as the modal outcome. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs issued on the morning of August 12 remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
33°C 46%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
46%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 46%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
27°C或以下
$727 交易量
<1%
28°C
$246 交易量
<1%
29°C
$86 交易量
1%
30°C
$397 交易量
1%
31°C
$930 交易量
5%
32°C
$876 交易量
25%
33°C
$1,996 交易量
46%
34°C
$1,109 交易量
22%
35°C
$437 交易量
5%
36°C
$139 交易量
1%
37°C或以上
$80 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 13 near 32–34 °C under continued high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow.** Coastal moderation from the North Sea keeps values below the 35 °C+ readings expected farther inland during the fifth heatwave of the season, while abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Historical August maxima for the city average around 22–23 °C, so current anomalies reflect a pronounced warm-air advection episode that began building earlier in the month. Short-range guidance shows only modest spread, with most ensemble members clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C; any increase in onshore winds or earlier marine-layer development could shave a degree or two, while clearer or drier boundary-layer conditions could push the peak toward 34 °C. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32–34 °C, with 33 °C emerging as the modal outcome. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs issued on the morning of August 12 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,022結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 13 near 32–34 °C under continued high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow.** Coastal moderation from the North Sea keeps values below the 35 °C+ readings expected farther inland during the fifth heatwave of the season, while abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Historical August maxima for the city average around 22–23 °C, so current anomalies reflect a pronounced warm-air advection episode that began building earlier in the month. Short-range guidance shows only modest spread, with most ensemble members clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C; any increase in onshore winds or earlier marine-layer development could shave a degree or two, while clearer or drier boundary-layer conditions could push the peak toward 34 °C. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32–34 °C, with 33 °C emerging as the modal outcome. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs issued on the morning of August 12 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,022結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET**Recent model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on August 13 near 32–34 °C under continued high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow.** Coastal moderation from the North Sea keeps values below the 35 °C+ readings expected farther inland during the fifth heatwave of the season, while abundant sunshine and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Historical August maxima for the city average around 22–23 °C, so current anomalies reflect a pronounced warm-air advection episode that began building earlier in the month. Short-range guidance shows only modest spread, with most ensemble members clustering between 31 °C and 34 °C; any increase in onshore winds or earlier marine-layer development could shave a degree or two, while clearer or drier boundary-layer conditions could push the peak toward 34 °C. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32–34 °C, with 33 °C emerging as the modal outcome. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs issued on the morning of August 12 remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions