Traders are weighing the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London's August 13 maximum, where the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects modest model divergence in boundary-layer heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Southerly flow and clear skies favor strong insolation, yet small differences in cloud timing or a weak frontal passage could limit or extend the peak. Official guidance places the most likely range near these values, well above the long-term August average of roughly 23°C. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will further narrow uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
35°C 43%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 11%
$27,462 交易量
$27,462 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
35%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 35%
34°C 11%
37°C 11%
$27,462 交易量
$27,462 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
35%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders are weighing the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for London's August 13 maximum, where the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C reflects modest model divergence in boundary-layer heating under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Southerly flow and clear skies favor strong insolation, yet small differences in cloud timing or a weak frontal passage could limit or extend the peak. Official guidance places the most likely range near these values, well above the long-term August average of roughly 23°C. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will further narrow uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions