Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月13日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-08-13
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,846 交易量
$17,846 交易量
2026-08-13
14°C or below
$267 交易量
No
15°C
$546 交易量
No
16°C
$1,368 交易量
No
17°C
$2,663 交易量
否
18°C
$3,621 交易量
是
19°C
$3,877 交易量
否
20°C
$3,165 交易量
否
21°C
$1,301 交易量
否
22°C
$302 交易量
否
23°C
$455 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$281 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,846結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,846結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations for London on 13 August 2026 recorded a minimum temperature of 18°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving the 100% consensus. This figure reflects overnight radiative cooling under clear skies following daytime highs near 38°C at Kew Gardens, consistent with typical summer nocturnal temperature drops of 15–20°C in urban settings influenced by the urban heat island effect. High-pressure dominance and light winds further limited mixing with cooler air masses. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from official stations or redefinition of the measurement period, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are verified against historical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions