Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure ridge over southern England through August 20, favoring clear skies and nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces London minima near 15°C. Ensemble runs indicate low spread around this value given above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that moderate extremes, while weak gradients limit advection of cooler air. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover projected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus clusters tightly on outcomes bracketing the late-August climatological norm. Updated model guidance expected in the coming day could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月20日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C或以上
1%
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
11°C
$0 交易量
1%
12°C
$0 交易量
7%
13°C
$0 交易量
5%
14°C
$0 交易量
16%
15°C
$14 交易量
47%
16°C
$25 交易量
32%
17°C
$5 交易量
5%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
1%
20°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure ridge over southern England through August 20, favoring clear skies and nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces London minima near 15°C. Ensemble runs indicate low spread around this value given above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that moderate extremes, while weak gradients limit advection of cooler air. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover projected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus clusters tightly on outcomes bracketing the late-August climatological norm. Updated model guidance expected in the coming day could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure ridge over southern England through August 20, favoring clear skies and nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces London minima near 15°C. Ensemble runs indicate low spread around this value given above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that moderate extremes, while weak gradients limit advection of cooler air. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover projected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus clusters tightly on outcomes bracketing the late-August climatological norm. Updated model guidance expected in the coming day could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETForecast models from the UK Met Office and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure ridge over southern England through August 20, favoring clear skies and nocturnal radiative cooling that typically produces London minima near 15°C. Ensemble runs indicate low spread around this value given above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that moderate extremes, while weak gradients limit advection of cooler air. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover projected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus clusters tightly on outcomes bracketing the late-August climatological norm. Updated model guidance expected in the coming day could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions