**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 20, 2026, under a mix of light cloud, westerly flow, and limited solar heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after earlier summer warmth, with August 18–19 highs around 24–26°C giving way to increased cloud and a modest drop in temperatures. Key variables include the exact timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer moisture, and whether brief clearing allows extra insolation—factors that could nudge the peak by 1°C in either direction. Official guidance from the Met Office lists 23°C while BBC indicates 22°C, underscoring the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and midday observations on the 19th and 20th will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月20日倫敦的最高溫度？
22°C 36%
23°C 29%
21°C 18%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
18%
22°C
36%
23°C
29%
24°C
10%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 29%
21°C 18%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
19°C or below
$37 交易量
2%
20°C
$64 交易量
5%
21°C
$1,372 交易量
18%
22°C
$701 交易量
36%
23°C
$2,014 交易量
29%
24°C
$1,298 交易量
10%
25°C
$227 交易量
6%
26°C
$88 交易量
2%
27°C
$427 交易量
<1%
28°C
$386 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$386 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 20, 2026, under a mix of light cloud, westerly flow, and limited solar heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after earlier summer warmth, with August 18–19 highs around 24–26°C giving way to increased cloud and a modest drop in temperatures. Key variables include the exact timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer moisture, and whether brief clearing allows extra insolation—factors that could nudge the peak by 1°C in either direction. Official guidance from the Met Office lists 23°C while BBC indicates 22°C, underscoring the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and midday observations on the 19th and 20th will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,001結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 20, 2026, under a mix of light cloud, westerly flow, and limited solar heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after earlier summer warmth, with August 18–19 highs around 24–26°C giving way to increased cloud and a modest drop in temperatures. Key variables include the exact timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer moisture, and whether brief clearing allows extra insolation—factors that could nudge the peak by 1°C in either direction. Official guidance from the Met Office lists 23°C while BBC indicates 22°C, underscoring the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and midday observations on the 19th and 20th will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,001結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently point to a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in London on August 20, 2026, under a mix of light cloud, westerly flow, and limited solar heating.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between those two outcomes. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after earlier summer warmth, with August 18–19 highs around 24–26°C giving way to increased cloud and a modest drop in temperatures. Key variables include the exact timing of any passing showers, boundary-layer moisture, and whether brief clearing allows extra insolation—factors that could nudge the peak by 1°C in either direction. Official guidance from the Met Office lists 23°C while BBC indicates 22°C, underscoring the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and midday observations on the 19th and 20th will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions