Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月14日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 10%
35°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
56%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 35%
34°C 10%
35°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
29°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$10 交易量
2%
31°C
$101 交易量
2%
32°C
$113 交易量
35%
33°C
$170 交易量
56%
34°C
$106 交易量
10%
35°C
$28 交易量
3%
36°C
$10 交易量
3%
37°C
$10 交易量
2%
38°C
$5 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$668結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$668結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical high pressure and clear, stable atmospheric conditions are driving Tel Aviv toward a seasonal summer maximum near 32–33°C on August 14, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as those referenced by the Met Office and timeanddate project highs of 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with mid-August climatology of roughly 30–32°C. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day shift, with no major heat advection or sea-breeze suppression expected to push readings higher; traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band between typical coastal moderation and slight urban-heat or measurement-timing effects that could tip the official station reading. Updated forecasts and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window will likely determine whether 33°C retains its lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions