Persistent warm subtropical air mass and clear, sunny conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a peak temperature near 33–34°C on August 13, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes at 56.5% and 35.5%. Official guidance from timeanddate, AccuWeather, and the Israel Meteorological Service indicates highs of 32–34°C under stable high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, slightly above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Traders appear to factor in potential urban heat-island effects or precise station timing that could push readings toward the upper end of the envelope, while low probabilities for 35°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before the period closes. Updated model runs and any last-minute forecast adjustments from NOAA or local agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 57%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
57%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
57%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm subtropical air mass and clear, sunny conditions are positioning Tel Aviv for a peak temperature near 33–34°C on August 13, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes at 56.5% and 35.5%. Official guidance from timeanddate, AccuWeather, and the Israel Meteorological Service indicates highs of 32–34°C under stable high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, slightly above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Traders appear to factor in potential urban heat-island effects or precise station timing that could push readings toward the upper end of the envelope, while low probabilities for 35°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before the period closes. Updated model runs and any last-minute forecast adjustments from NOAA or local agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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