Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日巴黎最低溫度？
8月14日巴黎最低溫度？
20°C或以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,957 交易量
$12,957 交易量
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
20°C或以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,957 交易量
$12,957 交易量
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
$2,119 交易量
是
21°C
$2,623 交易量
否
22°C
$3,712 交易量
否
23°C
$570 交易量
否
24°C
$1,353 交易量
否
25°C
$1,130 交易量
否
26°C
$323 交易量
否
27°C
$289 交易量
否
28°C
$279 交易量
否
29°C
$279 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$280 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,957結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,957結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Current forecasts from agencies like Météo-France and ensemble models indicate the overnight minimum in Paris will align with typical mid-August climatology of 15–18°C, driven by radiative cooling under mostly clear skies following the day's heat. This baseline, combined with moderate wind patterns and soil conditions, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 20°C or below. The ongoing heatwave primarily elevates daytime maxima via warm-air advection but has limited impact on nocturnal lows absent persistent cloud cover or humidity spikes. A realistic challenge could arise from revised model runs showing stronger warm advection or urban heat island effects pushing the minimum above 20°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions