Traders see the 72–73°F bin as the most likely overnight low in New York City on August 13 because current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to clear skies and light winds that will allow moderate radiational cooling after a daytime high near 85°F. Dew points in the mid-60s and weak southerly flow limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-August average of 68°F. Recent upper-air analyses show no strong cold front or increased cloud cover expected before sunrise, reducing the chance of readings in the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service New York office and the next model cycle will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 27%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
1%
74-75°F 40%
72-73°F 27%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
華氏61度或以下
$42 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$42 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$42 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$150 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$152 交易量
22%
72-73°F
$581 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$625 交易量
40%
76-77°F
$61 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$420 交易量
1%
華氏80度或以上
$41 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 72–73°F bin as the most likely overnight low in New York City on August 13 because current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to clear skies and light winds that will allow moderate radiational cooling after a daytime high near 85°F. Dew points in the mid-60s and weak southerly flow limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-August average of 68°F. Recent upper-air analyses show no strong cold front or increased cloud cover expected before sunrise, reducing the chance of readings in the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service New York office and the next model cycle will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,932結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 72–73°F bin as the most likely overnight low in New York City on August 13 because current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to clear skies and light winds that will allow moderate radiational cooling after a daytime high near 85°F. Dew points in the mid-60s and weak southerly flow limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-August average of 68°F. Recent upper-air analyses show no strong cold front or increased cloud cover expected before sunrise, reducing the chance of readings in the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service New York office and the next model cycle will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,932結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTraders see the 72–73°F bin as the most likely overnight low in New York City on August 13 because current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to clear skies and light winds that will allow moderate radiational cooling after a daytime high near 85°F. Dew points in the mid-60s and weak southerly flow limit how far temperatures can fall, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-August average of 68°F. Recent upper-air analyses show no strong cold front or increased cloud cover expected before sunrise, reducing the chance of readings in the upper 60s. Updated forecast discussions from the National Weather Service New York office and the next model cycle will provide the final inputs before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions