Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月13日的最高溫度？
芝加哥8月13日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
67°F或以下
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F或以上
1%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
67°F或以下
$100 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$5 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$69 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$135 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
23%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
31%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$192 交易量
9%
82-83°F
$6 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$53 交易量
2%
86°F或以上
$80 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$515結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$515結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions