Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate daytime highs of 34–36°C for August 11, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly flow limiting extreme peaks. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August variability where humidity and cloud cover often cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Above-normal August–October temperature guidance from the HKO, tied to long-term warming trends and current ENSO status, supports elevated readings relative to the 31°C climatological average, though model spread and potential shower activity introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Updated numerical guidance and observational data through the weekend will likely refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour measurement window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日香港最高溫度？
8月11日香港最高溫度？
35°C 38%
34°C 34%
33°C 13%
36°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
34%
35°C
38%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 34%
33°C 13%
36°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
30°C or below
$288 交易量
<1%
31°C
$395 交易量
<1%
32°C
$569 交易量
2%
33°C
$430 交易量
13%
34°C
$942 交易量
34%
35°C
$654 交易量
38%
36°C
$199 交易量
13%
37°C
$1,035 交易量
6%
38°C
$1,769 交易量
2%
39°C
$41 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$55 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate daytime highs of 34–36°C for August 11, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly flow limiting extreme peaks. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August variability where humidity and cloud cover often cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Above-normal August–October temperature guidance from the HKO, tied to long-term warming trends and current ENSO status, supports elevated readings relative to the 31°C climatological average, though model spread and potential shower activity introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Updated numerical guidance and observational data through the weekend will likely refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$6,376結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate daytime highs of 34–36°C for August 11, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly flow limiting extreme peaks. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August variability where humidity and cloud cover often cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Above-normal August–October temperature guidance from the HKO, tied to long-term warming trends and current ENSO status, supports elevated readings relative to the 31°C climatological average, though model spread and potential shower activity introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Updated numerical guidance and observational data through the weekend will likely refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,376結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate daytime highs of 34–36°C for August 11, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly flow limiting extreme peaks. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 34–35°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August variability where humidity and cloud cover often cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Above-normal August–October temperature guidance from the HKO, tied to long-term warming trends and current ENSO status, supports elevated readings relative to the 31°C climatological average, though model spread and potential shower activity introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum. Updated numerical guidance and observational data through the weekend will likely refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour measurement window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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