**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 76–77°F (56% implied probability) for Los Angeles on August 13, 2026, reflecting current National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to coastal moderation.** Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the dominant drivers, advecting cooler, moist air from the Pacific that promotes low stratus and fog overnight while limiting daytime heating. Recent NWS forecasts for the Los Angeles basin show Thursday highs near 73–78°F, with UCLA and other guidance clustering around 76°F under mostly sunny conditions after morning clouds. This aligns with observed temperatures over the prior 48 hours in the mid- to upper 70s at coastal stations and stands well below August climatological averages near 85°F. Key resolution factors include the precise maximum at official reporting sites (typically downtown or LAX), with minimal upside risk absent rapid offshore wind shifts. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 13 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月13日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月13日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F 或更高
<1%
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
69°F或以下
$195 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$119 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$503 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$2,771 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$1,675 交易量
57%
78-79°F
$742 交易量
11%
80-81°F
$160 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$71 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$171 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$186 交易量
<1%
88°F 或更高
$250 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 76–77°F (56% implied probability) for Los Angeles on August 13, 2026, reflecting current National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to coastal moderation.** Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the dominant drivers, advecting cooler, moist air from the Pacific that promotes low stratus and fog overnight while limiting daytime heating. Recent NWS forecasts for the Los Angeles basin show Thursday highs near 73–78°F, with UCLA and other guidance clustering around 76°F under mostly sunny conditions after morning clouds. This aligns with observed temperatures over the prior 48 hours in the mid- to upper 70s at coastal stations and stands well below August climatological averages near 85°F. Key resolution factors include the precise maximum at official reporting sites (typically downtown or LAX), with minimal upside risk absent rapid offshore wind shifts. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 13 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$6,843結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 76–77°F (56% implied probability) for Los Angeles on August 13, 2026, reflecting current National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to coastal moderation.** Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the dominant drivers, advecting cooler, moist air from the Pacific that promotes low stratus and fog overnight while limiting daytime heating. Recent NWS forecasts for the Los Angeles basin show Thursday highs near 73–78°F, with UCLA and other guidance clustering around 76°F under mostly sunny conditions after morning clouds. This aligns with observed temperatures over the prior 48 hours in the mid- to upper 70s at coastal stations and stands well below August climatological averages near 85°F. Key resolution factors include the precise maximum at official reporting sites (typically downtown or LAX), with minimal upside risk absent rapid offshore wind shifts. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 13 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,843結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 76–77°F (56% implied probability) for Los Angeles on August 13, 2026, reflecting current National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to coastal moderation.** Onshore flow and a persistent marine layer are the dominant drivers, advecting cooler, moist air from the Pacific that promotes low stratus and fog overnight while limiting daytime heating. Recent NWS forecasts for the Los Angeles basin show Thursday highs near 73–78°F, with UCLA and other guidance clustering around 76°F under mostly sunny conditions after morning clouds. This aligns with observed temperatures over the prior 48 hours in the mid- to upper 70s at coastal stations and stands well below August climatological averages near 85°F. Key resolution factors include the precise maximum at official reporting sites (typically downtown or LAX), with minimal upside risk absent rapid offshore wind shifts. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 13 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions