Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日上海最低溫度?
26°C 57%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
57%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 57%
27°C 26%
25°C 13%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
57%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate an expected overnight low near 23–26°C for Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling under subtropical summer conditions. These factors position 26°C as the market leader at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of typical diurnal ranges when daytime highs reach 31°C amid overcast skies. Historical August baselines show average lows near 25°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation suppress further drops, narrowing the range while leaving room for model revisions on exact minimum timing. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift probabilities if clearer skies emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions