Recent forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Milan is likely to reach a daily maximum near 36°C on August 11, driven by a lingering subtropical high-pressure system that has sustained above-normal temperatures across the Po Valley. This anticyclone has limited cloud cover and promoted adiabatic warming, with recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight and only modest shifts in wind patterns. The 36–37°C outcomes dominate trader sentiment because they align with ensemble consensus and historical analogs for mid-August heat under similar synoptic conditions, while lower or higher extremes remain less probable absent a sudden frontal passage or intensified heat advection. Updated guidance expected from national weather services could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日米蘭的最高溫度?
36°C 48%
37°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
16%
36°C
48%
37°C
33%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
16%
36°C
48%
37°C
33%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European meteorological agencies and models indicate Milan is likely to reach a daily maximum near 36°C on August 11, driven by a lingering subtropical high-pressure system that has sustained above-normal temperatures across the Po Valley. This anticyclone has limited cloud cover and promoted adiabatic warming, with recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight and only modest shifts in wind patterns. The 36–37°C outcomes dominate trader sentiment because they align with ensemble consensus and historical analogs for mid-August heat under similar synoptic conditions, while lower or higher extremes remain less probable absent a sudden frontal passage or intensified heat advection. Updated guidance expected from national weather services could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions