Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a brief window of enhanced solar heating and light winds over Shenzhen's subtropical coastal setting on August 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 35–36 °C. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures and elevated atmospheric moisture typical of the South China Sea monsoon season sustain heat buildup, while scattered convective activity could limit further warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical August baselines around 32–33 °C and the risk of stronger afternoon thunderstorms or steering influences from nearby tropical systems that could cap temperatures closer to 34 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日深圳最高溫度?
36°C 38%
35°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C或更高
1%
36°C 38%
35°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 16%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a brief window of enhanced solar heating and light winds over Shenzhen's subtropical coastal setting on August 10, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 35–36 °C. Persistent high sea-surface temperatures and elevated atmospheric moisture typical of the South China Sea monsoon season sustain heat buildup, while scattered convective activity could limit further warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical August baselines around 32–33 °C and the risk of stronger afternoon thunderstorms or steering influences from nearby tropical systems that could cap temperatures closer to 34 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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