Current official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime maxima of 28–36°C for Taipei on August 10, consistent with trader consensus clustering around 35–37°C. Subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating and urban heat island amplification, while Typhoon Dolphin's outer circulation introduces southwesterly flow that can enhance localized instability and afternoon thunderstorms, capping peaks through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. High humidity near 80% further modulates sensible temperatures and reduces diurnal ranges. Recent model runs show minor spread in convective timing and wind shear, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; historical August climatology places typical maxima at 32–34°C, with extremes above 37°C requiring clear skies and minimal precipitation. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the weekend will refine these probabilities.