**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Busan’s August 10 high because short-range models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 29–30°C.** Coastal marine influence from the Korea Strait, combined with expected cloud cover and possible showers, tends to cap peaks below inland values. Recent early-August heat driven by the North Pacific High has elevated baseline temperatures, yet a shift toward more humid, unsettled conditions around the 10th is tempering expectations for 32°C or higher. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; small changes in timing of any frontal passage or sea-breeze strength could shift the outcome between the tightly grouped 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日釜山的最高溫度?
30°C 35%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 10%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
35%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 10%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
35%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus clusters around 29–31°C for Busan’s August 10 high because short-range models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 29–30°C.** Coastal marine influence from the Korea Strait, combined with expected cloud cover and possible showers, tends to cap peaks below inland values. Recent early-August heat driven by the North Pacific High has elevated baseline temperatures, yet a shift toward more humid, unsettled conditions around the 10th is tempering expectations for 32°C or higher. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; small changes in timing of any frontal passage or sea-breeze strength could shift the outcome between the tightly grouped 29–31°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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