Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, issued August 12, project a minimum temperature of 24°C in Tokyo on August 13 under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, establishing this as the dominant outcome at 80% implied probability. Typical mid-August lows hover near the 23.6°C climatological normal, with high humidity and urban heat retention often limiting overnight cooling. Recent model consensus aligns closely with this range, though minor shifts from persistent cloud cover or localized rainfall could push readings to 23°C. Traders monitor JMA updates and official station observations through the evening, as these authoritative measurements determine market resolution amid standard seasonal variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日東京的最低溫度？
8月13日東京的最低溫度？
24°C 67%
23°C 10%
22°C 6%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
70%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
24°C 67%
23°C 10%
22°C 6%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
18°C或以下
$292 交易量
<1%
19°C
$297 交易量
<1%
20°C
$408 交易量
1%
21°C
$470 交易量
1%
22°C
$520 交易量
6%
23°C
$1,197 交易量
10%
24°C
$1,457 交易量
70%
25°C
$1,092 交易量
<1%
26°C
$339 交易量
<1%
27°C
$322 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$292 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, issued August 12, project a minimum temperature of 24°C in Tokyo on August 13 under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, establishing this as the dominant outcome at 80% implied probability. Typical mid-August lows hover near the 23.6°C climatological normal, with high humidity and urban heat retention often limiting overnight cooling. Recent model consensus aligns closely with this range, though minor shifts from persistent cloud cover or localized rainfall could push readings to 23°C. Traders monitor JMA updates and official station observations through the evening, as these authoritative measurements determine market resolution amid standard seasonal variability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,687結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, issued August 12, project a minimum temperature of 24°C in Tokyo on August 13 under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, establishing this as the dominant outcome at 80% implied probability. Typical mid-August lows hover near the 23.6°C climatological normal, with high humidity and urban heat retention often limiting overnight cooling. Recent model consensus aligns closely with this range, though minor shifts from persistent cloud cover or localized rainfall could push readings to 23°C. Traders monitor JMA updates and official station observations through the evening, as these authoritative measurements determine market resolution amid standard seasonal variability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,687結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, issued August 12, project a minimum temperature of 24°C in Tokyo on August 13 under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, establishing this as the dominant outcome at 80% implied probability. Typical mid-August lows hover near the 23.6°C climatological normal, with high humidity and urban heat retention often limiting overnight cooling. Recent model consensus aligns closely with this range, though minor shifts from persistent cloud cover or localized rainfall could push readings to 23°C. Traders monitor JMA updates and official station observations through the evening, as these authoritative measurements determine market resolution amid standard seasonal variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions