The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
華氏74-75度 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67華氏度 <1%
$13,380 交易量
$13,380 交易量
2026-08-14
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67華氏度
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
華氏74-75度
是
76-77°F
否
78-79華氏度
否
80-81°F
否
華氏82度或以上
否
華氏74-75度 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67華氏度 <1%
$13,380 交易量
$13,380 交易量
2026-08-14
63°F或以下
$301 交易量
否
64-65°F
$321 交易量
否
66-67華氏度
$704 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,226 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,487 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,916 交易量
否
華氏74-75度
$2,733 交易量
是
76-77°F
$1,498 交易量
否
78-79華氏度
$738 交易量
否
80-81°F
$758 交易量
否
華氏82度或以上
$698 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$13,380結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,380結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions