Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月14日丹佛的最高溫度？
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
7%
88°F或更高
2%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
69°F或以下
$201 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$201 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$227 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$29 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$46 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$25 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$122 交易量
9%
82-83°F
$90 交易量
37%
84-85°F
$111 交易量
33%
86-87°F
$30 交易量
7%
88°F或更高
$22 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,104結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,104結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near 83–84°F in Denver on August 14, aligning with the market’s tight leading bins at 82–83°F and 84–85°F. Afternoon convective development and scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase cloud cover and enhance evaporative cooling, capping peak readings below the climatological normal high of 88°F. Surface dew points near 55–60°F and light southeasterly flow will limit mixing, while subtle shortwave energy aloft supports isolated storms that could further suppress temperatures by 2–4°F in affected areas. These factors create the narrow spread between the top two outcomes, with any delay in storm initiation tilting the balance toward the warmer bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions