Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日廣州最高溫度？
8月13日廣州最高溫度？
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,869 交易量
$62,869 交易量
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或以上
否
35°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,869 交易量
$62,869 交易量
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
$1,469 交易量
否
30°C
$1,381 交易量
否
31°C
$1,619 交易量
否
32°C
$3,121 交易量
否
33°C
$6,791 交易量
否
34°C
$14,371 交易量
否
35°C
$6,884 交易量
是
36°C
$11,423 交易量
否
37°C
$6,682 交易量
否
38°C
$5,680 交易量
否
39°C或以上
$3,449 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$62,869結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,869結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover allowing surface heating, and scattered thunderstorms that have not fully suppressed peak readings. Official temperature observations and model consensus align closely with this threshold, reflecting typical August conditions where highs average around 32–34°C but can edge higher under favorable steering patterns and reduced rainfall intensity. The near-certain market-implied odds for 35°C capture this aggregated trader assessment of current data, though an unexpected increase in convective activity or measurement revisions could still shift the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions