Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and regional meteorological guidance position 36–38 °C as the dominant range for Chengdu’s maximum temperature on August 13, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically trap heat under high humidity and weak winds, with climatological August highs averaging near 32 °C but frequently exceeding 35 °C during clear periods. Recent model runs show limited convective activity and ample solar insolation supporting temperatures in the upper 30s, while any overnight cooling or scattered cloud cover could cap the peak near 36 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 37 °C and 38 °C because ensemble consensus remains stable ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日成都最高溫度？
8月13日成都最高溫度？
37°C 44%
38°C 28%
36°C 20%
39°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C
20%
37°C
44%
38°C
28%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C或以上
<1%
37°C 44%
38°C 28%
36°C 20%
39°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
32°C或以下
$413 交易量
1%
33°C
$320 交易量
1%
34°C
$511 交易量
3%
35°C
$149 交易量
4%
36°C
$263 交易量
20%
37°C
$2,247 交易量
44%
38°C
$708 交易量
28%
39°C
$538 交易量
5%
40°C
$523 交易量
2%
41°C
$157 交易量
1%
42°C或以上
$112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and regional meteorological guidance position 36–38 °C as the dominant range for Chengdu’s maximum temperature on August 13, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically trap heat under high humidity and weak winds, with climatological August highs averaging near 32 °C but frequently exceeding 35 °C during clear periods. Recent model runs show limited convective activity and ample solar insolation supporting temperatures in the upper 30s, while any overnight cooling or scattered cloud cover could cap the peak near 36 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 37 °C and 38 °C because ensemble consensus remains stable ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,941結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and regional meteorological guidance position 36–38 °C as the dominant range for Chengdu’s maximum temperature on August 13, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically trap heat under high humidity and weak winds, with climatological August highs averaging near 32 °C but frequently exceeding 35 °C during clear periods. Recent model runs show limited convective activity and ample solar insolation supporting temperatures in the upper 30s, while any overnight cooling or scattered cloud cover could cap the peak near 36 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 37 °C and 38 °C because ensemble consensus remains stable ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,941結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and regional meteorological guidance position 36–38 °C as the dominant range for Chengdu’s maximum temperature on August 13, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically trap heat under high humidity and weak winds, with climatological August highs averaging near 32 °C but frequently exceeding 35 °C during clear periods. Recent model runs show limited convective activity and ample solar insolation supporting temperatures in the upper 30s, while any overnight cooling or scattered cloud cover could cap the peak near 36 °C. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow spread between 37 °C and 38 °C because ensemble consensus remains stable ahead of the final 24-hour forecast updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions