Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日香港最低溫度？
8月13日香港最低溫度？
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,939 交易量
$77,939 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,939 交易量
$77,939 交易量
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
$1,075 交易量
否
23°C
$1,073 交易量
否
24°C
$2,154 交易量
否
25°C
$7,376 交易量
否
26°C
$8,924 交易量
否
27°C
$8,432 交易量
否
28°C
$9,478 交易量
否
29°C
$11,822 交易量
否
30°C
$23,339 交易量
是
31°C
$3,487 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$780 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$77,939結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,939結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Persistent high humidity and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling kept overnight temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 13, with Hong Kong Observatory surface readings holding between 29–32°C through the evening hours. This midsummer pattern, driven by warm sea-surface temperatures around 27°C and light southerly flow, produced an official daily minimum of 30°C at the primary monitoring site. Traders have converged on this outcome at 100% implied probability because it aligns directly with verified HKO data rather than model forecasts. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given the observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions