Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 39–40°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s August 13 maximum, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar heating under typical August conditions. Model consensus shows daytime highs climbing rapidly with light northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological baselines where central Spain often exceeds 35°C in mid-August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight advection shifts could nudge the peak toward 38°C or 41°C, though current runs favor the 39–40°C range ahead of final observations used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月13日馬德裏氣溫最高？
39°C 51%
40°C 41%
41°C 4%
38°C 3%
最新
$17,252 交易量
最新
$17,252 交易量
2026-08-13
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
51%
40°C
41%
41°C
4%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C或更高
<1%
39°C 51%
40°C 41%
41°C 4%
38°C 3%
最新
$17,252 交易量
最新
$17,252 交易量
2026-08-13
35°C or below
$1,039 交易量
1%
36°C
$499 交易量
1%
37°C
$569 交易量
1%
38°C
$1,110 交易量
3%
39°C
$2,329 交易量
51%
40°C
$9,331 交易量
41%
41°C
$749 交易量
4%
42°C
$433 交易量
1%
43°C
$324 交易量
1%
44°C
$594 交易量
<1%
45°C或更高
$275 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 39–40°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s August 13 maximum, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar heating under typical August conditions. Model consensus shows daytime highs climbing rapidly with light northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological baselines where central Spain often exceeds 35°C in mid-August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight advection shifts could nudge the peak toward 38°C or 41°C, though current runs favor the 39–40°C range ahead of final observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$17,252結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 39–40°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s August 13 maximum, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar heating under typical August conditions. Model consensus shows daytime highs climbing rapidly with light northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological baselines where central Spain often exceeds 35°C in mid-August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight advection shifts could nudge the peak toward 38°C or 41°C, though current runs favor the 39–40°C range ahead of final observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,252結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies position 39–40°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s August 13 maximum, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and strong daytime solar heating under typical August conditions. Model consensus shows daytime highs climbing rapidly with light northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological baselines where central Spain often exceeds 35°C in mid-August. Minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or slight advection shifts could nudge the peak toward 38°C or 41°C, though current runs favor the 39–40°C range ahead of final observations used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions