Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日巴黎最低溫度?
19°C 99.4%
18°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$13,302 交易量
$13,302 交易量
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
19°C 99.4%
18°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$13,302 交易量
$13,302 交易量
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions