Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and steady northeasterly sea breezes off the Yellow Sea, where surface temperatures near 26–28°C supply maritime moderation that limits afternoon heating. These conditions suppress strong solar insolation and enhance mixing, narrowing the likely range and explaining why traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or breeze timing account for the tight spread around those thresholds, while historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context for the current positioning. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日青島氣溫最高？
8月13日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
26°C或以下
$87 交易量
1%
27°C
$81 交易量
1%
28°C
$771 交易量
6%
29°C
$434 交易量
16%
30°C
$2,980 交易量
37%
31°C
$1,043 交易量
33%
32°C
$2,283 交易量
9%
33°C
$246 交易量
3%
34°C
$97 交易量
1%
35°C
$105 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$242 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and steady northeasterly sea breezes off the Yellow Sea, where surface temperatures near 26–28°C supply maritime moderation that limits afternoon heating. These conditions suppress strong solar insolation and enhance mixing, narrowing the likely range and explaining why traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or breeze timing account for the tight spread around those thresholds, while historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context for the current positioning. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,369結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and steady northeasterly sea breezes off the Yellow Sea, where surface temperatures near 26–28°C supply maritime moderation that limits afternoon heating. These conditions suppress strong solar insolation and enhance mixing, narrowing the likely range and explaining why traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or breeze timing account for the tight spread around those thresholds, while historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context for the current positioning. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,369結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and steady northeasterly sea breezes off the Yellow Sea, where surface temperatures near 26–28°C supply maritime moderation that limits afternoon heating. These conditions suppress strong solar insolation and enhance mixing, narrowing the likely range and explaining why traders assign roughly equal weight to the two leading outcomes. Minor model differences in cloud thickness or breeze timing account for the tight spread around those thresholds, while historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context for the current positioning. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or higher end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions