Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月13日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月13日的最高溫度？
28°C 50%
27°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
41%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
$12 交易量
<1%
24°C
$12 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
6%
26°C
$116 交易量
13%
27°C
$39 交易量
34%
28°C
$88 交易量
41%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$15 交易量
7%
32°C
$12 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$311結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$311結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions