Recent clearance of a cold front across the Western Cape has established post-frontal high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds over Cape Town, enabling moderate daytime warming consistent with South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a maximum in the low-20s Celsius. This setup explains the market's heavy concentration on 22°C (45%) and 23°C (29.5%) outcomes, well above the August climatological average high near 18°C. Limited cloud cover and reduced mixing support peak readings in this narrow range, while any residual moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures nearer 21°C. Traders' real-capital positions reflect aggregated assessment of these atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月12日的最高溫度?
22°C 45%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 8%
$12,253 交易量
$12,253 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
45%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 30%
21°C 16%
24°C 8%
$12,253 交易量
$12,253 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
45%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent clearance of a cold front across the Western Cape has established post-frontal high pressure with mostly clear skies and light winds over Cape Town, enabling moderate daytime warming consistent with South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a maximum in the low-20s Celsius. This setup explains the market's heavy concentration on 22°C (45%) and 23°C (29.5%) outcomes, well above the August climatological average high near 18°C. Limited cloud cover and reduced mixing support peak readings in this narrow range, while any residual moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures nearer 21°C. Traders' real-capital positions reflect aggregated assessment of these atmospheric conditions ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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