Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月10日紐約市的最低溫度？
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
2%
華氏82度或更高
2%
76-77°F 29%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
63°F或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$31 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$10 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$99 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$133 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$90 交易量
14%
74-75°F
$142 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$40 交易量
29%
78-79°F
$98 交易量
17%
80-81°F
$90 交易量
2%
華氏82度或更高
$648 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,412結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,412結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates overnight lows on August 10 will likely settle in the mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with light winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the near-even market weighting between 74-75°F and 76-77°F outcomes, as small differences in forecast timing of any weak disturbance or dew-point variations create the primary spread across runs. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 70°F, underscoring the current above-normal warmth, while resolution hinges on official Central Park observations meeting the precise minimum threshold amid typical model uncertainty ranges of 2-4°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions