**Forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather, NWS, and local outlets places Dallas highs on August 12 near 100–102°F, aligning with the market’s leading 100–101°F (49.5%) and 102–103°F (24.5%) buckets.** Typical August conditions feature a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds, and highs averaging 96–99°F, but current model runs show modest above-normal warmth from continued southerly moisture transport and minimal daytime cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances noted for August 10–12 could cap afternoon peaks if storms develop early, introducing the main uncertainty. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent DFW 100°-day trends, which have been frequent this summer, while discounting rarer extremes above 104°F given the late-summer climatology and forecast timing. New model updates closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月12日達拉斯的最高溫度？
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 11%
104-105°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
95°F or below
$489 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$34 交易量
3%
98-99°F
$227 交易量
11%
100-101°F
$169 交易量
52%
102-103°F
$9 交易量
25%
104-105°F
$8 交易量
6%
106-107°F
$39 交易量
2%
108-109°F
$47 交易量
3%
110-111°F
$50 交易量
2%
112-113°F
$12 交易量
<1%
114°F or higher
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather, NWS, and local outlets places Dallas highs on August 12 near 100–102°F, aligning with the market’s leading 100–101°F (49.5%) and 102–103°F (24.5%) buckets.** Typical August conditions feature a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds, and highs averaging 96–99°F, but current model runs show modest above-normal warmth from continued southerly moisture transport and minimal daytime cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances noted for August 10–12 could cap afternoon peaks if storms develop early, introducing the main uncertainty. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent DFW 100°-day trends, which have been frequent this summer, while discounting rarer extremes above 104°F given the late-summer climatology and forecast timing. New model updates closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,097結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather, NWS, and local outlets places Dallas highs on August 12 near 100–102°F, aligning with the market’s leading 100–101°F (49.5%) and 102–103°F (24.5%) buckets.** Typical August conditions feature a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds, and highs averaging 96–99°F, but current model runs show modest above-normal warmth from continued southerly moisture transport and minimal daytime cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances noted for August 10–12 could cap afternoon peaks if storms develop early, introducing the main uncertainty. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent DFW 100°-day trends, which have been frequent this summer, while discounting rarer extremes above 104°F given the late-summer climatology and forecast timing. New model updates closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,097結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Forecast consensus from sources like AccuWeather, NWS, and local outlets places Dallas highs on August 12 near 100–102°F, aligning with the market’s leading 100–101°F (49.5%) and 102–103°F (24.5%) buckets.** Typical August conditions feature a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, south-southeast winds, and highs averaging 96–99°F, but current model runs show modest above-normal warmth from continued southerly moisture transport and minimal daytime cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances noted for August 10–12 could cap afternoon peaks if storms develop early, introducing the main uncertainty. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent DFW 100°-day trends, which have been frequent this summer, while discounting rarer extremes above 104°F given the late-summer climatology and forecast timing. New model updates closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions