Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to seasonably hot conditions in Dallas on August 11, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 99–101 °F. Persistent mid-level ridging promotes subsidence warming and clear skies that maximize solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow and deep boundary-layer mixing keep dew points low enough to limit widespread convection that could otherwise cap the maximum. These dynamics align with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (59 %) and trailing 100–101 °F outcome (36.5 %), as historical August averages hover near 99 °F and limited moisture reduces the chance of exceeding 102 °F. With resolution imminent, any final pre-dawn model shift or unexpected cloud cover remains the key variable that could reweight the dominant bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日達拉斯的最高溫度？
8月11日達拉斯的最高溫度？
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$39,644 交易量
最新
$39,644 交易量
2026-08-11
華氏93度或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F或以上
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 3%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$39,644 交易量
最新
$39,644 交易量
2026-08-11
華氏93度或以下
$1,152 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$2,653 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$3,021 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$6,613 交易量
56%
100-101°F
$5,897 交易量
42%
102-103°F
$3,025 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$2,574 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$1,680 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$4,083 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$4,207 交易量
<1%
112°F或以上
$4,738 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to seasonably hot conditions in Dallas on August 11, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 99–101 °F. Persistent mid-level ridging promotes subsidence warming and clear skies that maximize solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow and deep boundary-layer mixing keep dew points low enough to limit widespread convection that could otherwise cap the maximum. These dynamics align with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (59 %) and trailing 100–101 °F outcome (36.5 %), as historical August averages hover near 99 °F and limited moisture reduces the chance of exceeding 102 °F. With resolution imminent, any final pre-dawn model shift or unexpected cloud cover remains the key variable that could reweight the dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$39,644結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to seasonably hot conditions in Dallas on August 11, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 99–101 °F. Persistent mid-level ridging promotes subsidence warming and clear skies that maximize solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow and deep boundary-layer mixing keep dew points low enough to limit widespread convection that could otherwise cap the maximum. These dynamics align with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (59 %) and trailing 100–101 °F outcome (36.5 %), as historical August averages hover near 99 °F and limited moisture reduces the chance of exceeding 102 °F. With resolution imminent, any final pre-dawn model shift or unexpected cloud cover remains the key variable that could reweight the dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,644結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to seasonably hot conditions in Dallas on August 11, with afternoon highs most likely peaking near 99–101 °F. Persistent mid-level ridging promotes subsidence warming and clear skies that maximize solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow and deep boundary-layer mixing keep dew points low enough to limit widespread convection that could otherwise cap the maximum. These dynamics align with the market’s leading 98–99 °F bin (59 %) and trailing 100–101 °F outcome (36.5 %), as historical August averages hover near 99 °F and limited moisture reduces the chance of exceeding 102 °F. With resolution imminent, any final pre-dawn model shift or unexpected cloud cover remains the key variable that could reweight the dominant bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions