The market's near-certain consensus on an 82-83°F low for Miami on August 11 stems directly from National Weather Service observations confirming that exact minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect around Miami International Airport suppressed overnight cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow as forecast models had projected days earlier. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 78-80°F, but recent stable atmospheric patterns and above-normal sea-surface temperatures supported the warmer outcome. Only a major unforecast frontal intrusion or sensor anomaly could have shifted the result, neither of which materialized before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月11日邁阿密的最低溫度？
82-83°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
$14,248 交易量
$14,248 交易量
2026-08-11
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或以上
否
82-83°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
$14,248 交易量
$14,248 交易量
2026-08-11
華氏71度或以下
$495 交易量
否
72-73°F
$478 交易量
否
74-75°F
$545 交易量
否
76-77°F
$1,888 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,432 交易量
否
80-81°F
$2,366 交易量
否
82-83°F
$1,385 交易量
是
84-85°F
$2,624 交易量
否
86-87°F
$2,123 交易量
否
88-89°F
$444 交易量
否
90°F或以上
$468 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on an 82-83°F low for Miami on August 11 stems directly from National Weather Service observations confirming that exact minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect around Miami International Airport suppressed overnight cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow as forecast models had projected days earlier. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 78-80°F, but recent stable atmospheric patterns and above-normal sea-surface temperatures supported the warmer outcome. Only a major unforecast frontal intrusion or sensor anomaly could have shifted the result, neither of which materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$14,248結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on an 82-83°F low for Miami on August 11 stems directly from National Weather Service observations confirming that exact minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect around Miami International Airport suppressed overnight cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow as forecast models had projected days earlier. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 78-80°F, but recent stable atmospheric patterns and above-normal sea-surface temperatures supported the warmer outcome. Only a major unforecast frontal intrusion or sensor anomaly could have shifted the result, neither of which materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,248結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain consensus on an 82-83°F low for Miami on August 11 stems directly from National Weather Service observations confirming that exact minimum under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the urban heat island effect around Miami International Airport suppressed overnight cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow as forecast models had projected days earlier. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 78-80°F, but recent stable atmospheric patterns and above-normal sea-surface temperatures supported the warmer outcome. Only a major unforecast frontal intrusion or sensor anomaly could have shifted the result, neither of which materialized before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions