Traders have converged on an 82–83 °F low for Miami on August 15 because official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 82 °F just after midnight under clear, light-wind conditions that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. August climatology for the region typically features overnight lows near 78 °F, yet persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea-surface temperatures suppressed the usual diurnal drop, keeping readings elevated. With the event now complete and data from the National Weather Service and cooperating networks confirming the exact threshold, implied probability sits at 100 %. Only a substantial revision to the station record or a shift to an alternate reporting site could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日邁阿密的最低溫度?
82-83°F 100.0%
$10,558 交易量
$10,558 交易量
82-83°F
100%
82-83°F 100.0%
$10,558 交易量
$10,558 交易量
82-83°F
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on an 82–83 °F low for Miami on August 15 because official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a minimum of 82 °F just after midnight under clear, light-wind conditions that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. August climatology for the region typically features overnight lows near 78 °F, yet persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea-surface temperatures suppressed the usual diurnal drop, keeping readings elevated. With the event now complete and data from the National Weather Service and cooperating networks confirming the exact threshold, implied probability sits at 100 %. Only a substantial revision to the station record or a shift to an alternate reporting site could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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