Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
12°C 40%
11°C 24%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
9°C or below
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
24%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
11°C 24%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
9°C or below
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
24%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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