**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast maximum temperatures near 24–25°C according to real-time meteorological data.** Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows a stable northeasterly flow bringing moist air, heavy precipitation, and low-level stratus that limits solar insolation and caps surface warming well below seasonal August averages of 30–32°C. This alignment of synoptic conditions and station measurements has produced near-certain market-implied odds for a 25°C high. The outcome could shift only if unexpected rapid clearing of skies occurs late in the afternoon or if localized urban heat-island effects push an official station reading higher, though current radar and model consensus make such changes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月12日鄭州氣溫最高？
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,551 交易量
$14,551 交易量
2026-08-12
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,551 交易量
$14,551 交易量
2026-08-12
22°C or below
$961 交易量
No
23°C
$1,411 交易量
No
24°C
$3,526 交易量
No
25°C
$1,578 交易量
Yes
26°C
$1,649 交易量
No
27°C
$775 交易量
No
28°C
$849 交易量
No
29°C
$1,508 交易量
No
30°C
$721 交易量
No
31°C
$670 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$904 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast maximum temperatures near 24–25°C according to real-time meteorological data.** Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows a stable northeasterly flow bringing moist air, heavy precipitation, and low-level stratus that limits solar insolation and caps surface warming well below seasonal August averages of 30–32°C. This alignment of synoptic conditions and station measurements has produced near-certain market-implied odds for a 25°C high. The outcome could shift only if unexpected rapid clearing of skies occurs late in the afternoon or if localized urban heat-island effects push an official station reading higher, though current radar and model consensus make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$14,551結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast maximum temperatures near 24–25°C according to real-time meteorological data.** Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows a stable northeasterly flow bringing moist air, heavy precipitation, and low-level stratus that limits solar insolation and caps surface warming well below seasonal August averages of 30–32°C. This alignment of synoptic conditions and station measurements has produced near-certain market-implied odds for a 25°C high. The outcome could shift only if unexpected rapid clearing of skies occurs late in the afternoon or if localized urban heat-island effects push an official station reading higher, though current radar and model consensus make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,551結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast maximum temperatures near 24–25°C according to real-time meteorological data.** Official guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows a stable northeasterly flow bringing moist air, heavy precipitation, and low-level stratus that limits solar insolation and caps surface warming well below seasonal August averages of 30–32°C. This alignment of synoptic conditions and station measurements has produced near-certain market-implied odds for a 25°C high. The outcome could shift only if unexpected rapid clearing of skies occurs late in the afternoon or if localized urban heat-island effects push an official station reading higher, though current radar and model consensus make such changes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions