Forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of peak summer monsoon patterns, position 36°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push observed maxima above climatological August averages of 32–34°C, while afternoon convection introduces downward uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting the tight clustering around 35–37°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日臺北氣溫最高?
36°C 42%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 7%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
42%
37°C
32%
38°C
7%
39°C或以上
1%
36°C 42%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 7%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
42%
37°C
32%
38°C
7%
39°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international sources indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 13, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of peak summer monsoon patterns, position 36°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed closely by 37°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push observed maxima above climatological August averages of 32–34°C, while afternoon convection introduces downward uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting the tight clustering around 35–37°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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