Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models project a daily maximum of 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 35°C (37.5%) and 36°C (25%). Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high, combined with light winds and limited cloud cover, favors strong afternoon solar heating in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate. Late-August seasonal cooling trends and typical August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–35°C) anchor expectations near this range, though brief convective activity or minor shifts in steering patterns could produce small deviations. Current observations near 33–35°C and stable model consensus have kept trader focus on these bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 33–36°C absent significant forecast updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日武漢氣溫最高?
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
24%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
33°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
24%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
6%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and regional models project a daily maximum of 34–35°C for Wuhan on August 22, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 35°C (37.5%) and 36°C (25%). Persistent influence from the western Pacific subtropical high, combined with light winds and limited cloud cover, favors strong afternoon solar heating in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate. Late-August seasonal cooling trends and typical August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–35°C) anchor expectations near this range, though brief convective activity or minor shifts in steering patterns could produce small deviations. Current observations near 33–35°C and stable model consensus have kept trader focus on these bins, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside 33–36°C absent significant forecast updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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