Recent surface observations and numerical weather model consensus from the Malaysian Meteorological Department indicate a strong likelihood of peak daytime maxima near 34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability exceeding 55% for that outcome. The city's equatorial position under the southwest monsoon typically supports August highs of 32–33°C, yet urban heat island effects and recent verification of a 34°C reading on August 20 have elevated trader expectations for similar or slightly warmer conditions. Forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office project highs of 33–34°C amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, with 35°C remaining plausible if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows occasional excursions above 34°C during this period, though sustained values near 36°C or higher face significant barriers from prevailing atmospheric moisture. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
34°C 57%
35°C 26%
33°C 15%
36°C 5.6%
$11,709 交易量
$11,709 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
57%
35°C
26%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
34°C 57%
35°C 26%
33°C 15%
36°C 5.6%
$11,709 交易量
$11,709 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
57%
35°C
26%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent surface observations and numerical weather model consensus from the Malaysian Meteorological Department indicate a strong likelihood of peak daytime maxima near 34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability exceeding 55% for that outcome. The city's equatorial position under the southwest monsoon typically supports August highs of 32–33°C, yet urban heat island effects and recent verification of a 34°C reading on August 20 have elevated trader expectations for similar or slightly warmer conditions. Forecasts from AccuWeather and the UK Met Office project highs of 33–34°C amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover, with 35°C remaining plausible if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows occasional excursions above 34°C during this period, though sustained values near 36°C or higher face significant barriers from prevailing atmospheric moisture. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions