Forecast uncertainty around overnight cloud cover and monsoon moisture levels primarily drives the tight clustering of trader probabilities between 26–28°C for Karachi's minimum temperature on August 22. High humidity from the Arabian Sea and potential scattered showers or increased cloudiness limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima around 28°C amid weak monsoon currents, while model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions. Clearer skies could allow greater cooling toward 26°C, whereas enhanced moisture or wind shifts might hold temperatures closer to 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
27°C 57%
28°C 42%
24°C 30%
26°C 28%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
30%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
27°C 57%
28°C 42%
24°C 30%
26°C 28%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
30%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
36%
28°C
42%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast uncertainty around overnight cloud cover and monsoon moisture levels primarily drives the tight clustering of trader probabilities between 26–28°C for Karachi's minimum temperature on August 22. High humidity from the Arabian Sea and potential scattered showers or increased cloudiness limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Recent observations show daily minima around 28°C amid weak monsoon currents, while model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions. Clearer skies could allow greater cooling toward 26°C, whereas enhanced moisture or wind shifts might hold temperatures closer to 28°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions