Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月22日的最低溫度？
洛杉磯8月22日的最低溫度？
70-71°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
$3,472 交易量
$3,472 交易量
2026-08-22
57°F或更低
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
70-71°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
68-69°F 1.0%
$3,472 交易量
$3,472 交易量
2026-08-22
57°F或更低
$798 交易量
否
58-59°F
$132 交易量
否
60-61°F
$132 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,360 交易量
否
64-65°F
$53 交易量
否
66-67°F
$47 交易量
否
68-69°F
$63 交易量
否
70-71°F
$282 交易量
是
72-73°F
$207 交易量
否
74-75°F
$243 交易量
否
76°F或以上
$153 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,472結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,472結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 91.5% implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Clear skies, light southwest winds, and a shallow or absent marine layer kept overnight radiative cooling limited amid an ongoing warm spell with daytime highs reaching the mid-80s to mid-90s. This placed the low well above the 1991-2020 climatological average near 65°F. Updated model runs and real-time surface data reinforced expectations of minimal overnight drops, while historical analogs for late-August warm periods in the Los Angeles Basin support similarly elevated minima. A shift in marine layer depth or unexpected coastal stratus could have lowered readings toward 66-68°F, but no such development materialized before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions