**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consistent model guidance position the highest temperature on August 22, 2026, near 80–83°F at the primary Los Angeles reporting station (Los Angeles International Airport, or LAX).** Marine layer stratus and patchy fog are expected to linger into mid-morning before clearing under sunny skies, with a moderate southwest sea breeze developing in the afternoon. This typical summer pattern limits daytime heating along the coast while allowing slightly higher readings farther inland. Recent climatological data show August averages near 78–82°F at LAX, and yesterday’s strong heat (downtown high of 96°F) has given way to increased onshore flow today. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities (80–81°F at 46.5% and 82–83°F at 27.0%) aligns closely with the NWS point forecast of an 81°F high at LAX and nearby coastal guidance around 80–85°F. Minor uncertainty remains from exact clearing timing and wind strength, which could nudge the peak a degree or two higher or keep it near the lower end of the leading bins. No major model divergence or unexpected synoptic change has emerged in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月22日的最高溫度?
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
$11,841 交易量
$11,841 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
$11,841 交易量
$11,841 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consistent model guidance position the highest temperature on August 22, 2026, near 80–83°F at the primary Los Angeles reporting station (Los Angeles International Airport, or LAX).** Marine layer stratus and patchy fog are expected to linger into mid-morning before clearing under sunny skies, with a moderate southwest sea breeze developing in the afternoon. This typical summer pattern limits daytime heating along the coast while allowing slightly higher readings farther inland. Recent climatological data show August averages near 78–82°F at LAX, and yesterday’s strong heat (downtown high of 96°F) has given way to increased onshore flow today. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities (80–81°F at 46.5% and 82–83°F at 27.0%) aligns closely with the NWS point forecast of an 81°F high at LAX and nearby coastal guidance around 80–85°F. Minor uncertainty remains from exact clearing timing and wind strength, which could nudge the peak a degree or two higher or keep it near the lower end of the leading bins. No major model divergence or unexpected synoptic change has emerged in the latest runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions