Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and TimeandDate project a peak of 34–35°C on August 24 in Wuhan under subtropical monsoon conditions, with sunny skies and light winds limiting further heating. This aligns with late-August climatology where highs average near 33–35°C amid high humidity around 70%, though model runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover or localized convection. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance indicates borderline potential for slight intensification if subsidence strengthens, while 37°C+ remains possible only with unexpected clear-air warming. The tight 35.5%/31.5% split on the top two reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日武漢氣溫最高？
8月24日武漢氣溫最高？
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
37°C或以上 18%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
10%
34°C
16%
35°C
32%
36°C
29%
37°C或以上
18%
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
37°C或以上 18%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C
$5 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C
$20 交易量
6%
33°C
$0 交易量
10%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C
$0 交易量
32%
36°C
$11 交易量
29%
37°C或以上
$99 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and TimeandDate project a peak of 34–35°C on August 24 in Wuhan under subtropical monsoon conditions, with sunny skies and light winds limiting further heating. This aligns with late-August climatology where highs average near 33–35°C amid high humidity around 70%, though model runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover or localized convection. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance indicates borderline potential for slight intensification if subsidence strengthens, while 37°C+ remains possible only with unexpected clear-air warming. The tight 35.5%/31.5% split on the top two reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$134結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and TimeandDate project a peak of 34–35°C on August 24 in Wuhan under subtropical monsoon conditions, with sunny skies and light winds limiting further heating. This aligns with late-August climatology where highs average near 33–35°C amid high humidity around 70%, though model runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover or localized convection. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance indicates borderline potential for slight intensification if subsidence strengthens, while 37°C+ remains possible only with unexpected clear-air warming. The tight 35.5%/31.5% split on the top two reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$134結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and TimeandDate project a peak of 34–35°C on August 24 in Wuhan under subtropical monsoon conditions, with sunny skies and light winds limiting further heating. This aligns with late-August climatology where highs average near 33–35°C amid high humidity around 70%, though model runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover or localized convection. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance indicates borderline potential for slight intensification if subsidence strengthens, while 37°C+ remains possible only with unexpected clear-air warming. The tight 35.5%/31.5% split on the top two reflects this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions