Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 22 project a minimum temperature of 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under cloudy skies with morning rain and a 60% precipitation probability, establishing this as the consensus outcome. Persistent late-summer monsoon influences and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August lows typically ranging 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting the market-implied 53.5% probability on 24°C while assigning secondary weight to 23°C or 25°C scenarios if steering patterns or precipitation timing shift. Traders monitor updated KMA short-range guidance and Incheon station observations for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
24°C 54%
25°C 30%
23°C 13%
22°C 3%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
54%
25°C
30%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 30%
23°C 13%
22°C 3%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
54%
25°C
30%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 22 project a minimum temperature of 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under cloudy skies with morning rain and a 60% precipitation probability, establishing this as the consensus outcome. Persistent late-summer monsoon influences and high humidity are moderating overnight radiative cooling, aligning with climatological August lows typically ranging 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, supporting the market-implied 53.5% probability on 24°C while assigning secondary weight to 23°C or 25°C scenarios if steering patterns or precipitation timing shift. Traders monitor updated KMA short-range guidance and Incheon station observations for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions