Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs by ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's August 23 daytime high most likely reaching 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions, typical for late-summer Black Sea influence, keep temperatures below recent heat peaks while preventing significant cooling. Trader consensus at 51% for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow historical variability around late-August norms of 28–29°C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月23日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 51%
29°C 19%
27°C 18%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
51%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 19%
27°C 18%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
23°C or below
$35 交易量
1%
24°C
$77 交易量
1%
25°C
$164 交易量
1%
26°C
$86 交易量
4%
27°C
$823 交易量
18%
28°C
$1,328 交易量
51%
29°C
$253 交易量
19%
30°C
$30 交易量
4%
31°C
$42 交易量
2%
32°C
$66 交易量
3%
33°C or higher
$38 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs by ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's August 23 daytime high most likely reaching 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions, typical for late-summer Black Sea influence, keep temperatures below recent heat peaks while preventing significant cooling. Trader consensus at 51% for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow historical variability around late-August norms of 28–29°C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,943結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs by ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's August 23 daytime high most likely reaching 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions, typical for late-summer Black Sea influence, keep temperatures below recent heat peaks while preventing significant cooling. Trader consensus at 51% for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow historical variability around late-August norms of 28–29°C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,943結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble runs by ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul's August 23 daytime high most likely reaching 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions, typical for late-summer Black Sea influence, keep temperatures below recent heat peaks while preventing significant cooling. Trader consensus at 51% for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow historical variability around late-August norms of 28–29°C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions