Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with climatological norms for the date, where minimum temperatures average around 21–22°C (70–72°F), with the diurnal range supported by daytime highs near 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 62% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects the narrow forecast spread and low uncertainty from stable synoptic conditions, while probabilities below 1% for outcomes under 20°C or above 22°C stem from the absence of atypical cooling or warming factors such as cloud cover, precipitation, or wind shifts in the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
8月23日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,357 交易量
$2,357 交易量
2026-08-23
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,357 交易量
$2,357 交易量
2026-08-23
16°C or below
$200 交易量
1%
17°C
$338 交易量
<1%
18°C
$225 交易量
<1%
19°C
$133 交易量
<1%
20°C
$37 交易量
2%
21°C
$220 交易量
-
22°C
$257 交易量
<1%
23°C
$215 交易量
<1%
24°C
$236 交易量
<1%
25°C
$313 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with climatological norms for the date, where minimum temperatures average around 21–22°C (70–72°F), with the diurnal range supported by daytime highs near 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 62% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects the narrow forecast spread and low uncertainty from stable synoptic conditions, while probabilities below 1% for outcomes under 20°C or above 22°C stem from the absence of atypical cooling or warming factors such as cloud cover, precipitation, or wind shifts in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,357結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with climatological norms for the date, where minimum temperatures average around 21–22°C (70–72°F), with the diurnal range supported by daytime highs near 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 62% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects the narrow forecast spread and low uncertainty from stable synoptic conditions, while probabilities below 1% for outcomes under 20°C or above 22°C stem from the absence of atypical cooling or warming factors such as cloud cover, precipitation, or wind shifts in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,357結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, driven by clear skies, light to moderate northeast winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns closely with climatological norms for the date, where minimum temperatures average around 21–22°C (70–72°F), with the diurnal range supported by daytime highs near 30–31°C. Trader consensus at 62% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects the narrow forecast spread and low uncertainty from stable synoptic conditions, while probabilities below 1% for outcomes under 20°C or above 22°C stem from the absence of atypical cooling or warming factors such as cloud cover, precipitation, or wind shifts in the latest model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions