Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus place Paris’s maximum temperature on August 23 near 23–25 °C under northeasterly flow and high pressure, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (54.5 %), 25 °C (19.0 %), and 23 °C (18.5 %). A cooler maritime air mass has displaced earlier August warmth, producing stable, partly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit afternoon heating. Model runs show minimal spread around these values, aligning closely with the August climatological normal of roughly 24–25 °C. Minor uncertainties remain from local cloud cover or measurement timing at official stations, but current guidance supports trader emphasis on the narrow 23–25 °C range ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日巴黎最高溫度?
24°C 55%
25°C 19%
23°C 19%
26°C 4%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
55%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 55%
25°C 19%
23°C 19%
26°C 4%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
55%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS consensus place Paris’s maximum temperature on August 23 near 23–25 °C under northeasterly flow and high pressure, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (54.5 %), 25 °C (19.0 %), and 23 °C (18.5 %). A cooler maritime air mass has displaced earlier August warmth, producing stable, partly cloudy conditions with light winds that limit afternoon heating. Model runs show minimal spread around these values, aligning closely with the August climatological normal of roughly 24–25 °C. Minor uncertainties remain from local cloud cover or measurement timing at official stations, but current guidance supports trader emphasis on the narrow 23–25 °C range ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions