Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 23 high centers on typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with 32–33°C outcomes leading as models project values near the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Frequent afternoon showers and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon introduce uncertainty by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals could allow brief spikes to 34°C. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps humidity and moderates extremes compared to surrounding areas, and urban heat island effects add slight upward bias. Recent observational trends show increasing hot days amid broader warming, yet no major heatwave signal appears in current guidance, leaving room for modest forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日成都最高溫度?
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
34°C 18%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
23%
33°C
28%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 23%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
34°C 18%
27°C or below
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
23%
33°C
28%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Chengdu's August 23 high centers on typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with 32–33°C outcomes leading as models project values near the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Frequent afternoon showers and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon introduce uncertainty by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clear intervals could allow brief spikes to 34°C. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps humidity and moderates extremes compared to surrounding areas, and urban heat island effects add slight upward bias. Recent observational trends show increasing hot days amid broader warming, yet no major heatwave signal appears in current guidance, leaving room for modest forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions