Recent model guidance from sources including the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Milan’s August 23 maximum temperature near 27–29 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around the 28 °C (41.5 %) and 29 °C-or-higher (27.5 %) bins. Late-summer climatology in the Po Valley typically features daytime highs of 28–30 °C under moderate high pressure; current forecasts show limited heat advection and possible scattered cloud or light showers that cap extreme values while preventing sharp cooling. The recent 31 °C reading on August 17 illustrates how quickly local conditions can shift, yet the latest runs lack a comparable warm anomaly for the coming day. Traders therefore weight the central bins most heavily, with new 12z–00z model updates the next likely catalyst for repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月23日米蘭的最高溫度？
28°C 42%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
25%
28°C
42%
29°C or higher
28%
28°C 42%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 25%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$104 交易量
<1%
20°C
$184 交易量
1%
21°C
$189 交易量
<1%
22°C
$429 交易量
1%
23°C
$146 交易量
1%
24°C
$428 交易量
1%
25°C
$124 交易量
2%
26°C
$617 交易量
7%
27°C
$849 交易量
25%
28°C
$1,744 交易量
42%
29°C or higher
$732 交易量
28%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Milan’s August 23 maximum temperature near 27–29 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around the 28 °C (41.5 %) and 29 °C-or-higher (27.5 %) bins. Late-summer climatology in the Po Valley typically features daytime highs of 28–30 °C under moderate high pressure; current forecasts show limited heat advection and possible scattered cloud or light showers that cap extreme values while preventing sharp cooling. The recent 31 °C reading on August 17 illustrates how quickly local conditions can shift, yet the latest runs lack a comparable warm anomaly for the coming day. Traders therefore weight the central bins most heavily, with new 12z–00z model updates the next likely catalyst for repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,546結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources including the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Milan’s August 23 maximum temperature near 27–29 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around the 28 °C (41.5 %) and 29 °C-or-higher (27.5 %) bins. Late-summer climatology in the Po Valley typically features daytime highs of 28–30 °C under moderate high pressure; current forecasts show limited heat advection and possible scattered cloud or light showers that cap extreme values while preventing sharp cooling. The recent 31 °C reading on August 17 illustrates how quickly local conditions can shift, yet the latest runs lack a comparable warm anomaly for the coming day. Traders therefore weight the central bins most heavily, with new 12z–00z model updates the next likely catalyst for repricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,546結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model guidance from sources including the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Milan’s August 23 maximum temperature near 27–29 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration of implied probability around the 28 °C (41.5 %) and 29 °C-or-higher (27.5 %) bins. Late-summer climatology in the Po Valley typically features daytime highs of 28–30 °C under moderate high pressure; current forecasts show limited heat advection and possible scattered cloud or light showers that cap extreme values while preventing sharp cooling. The recent 31 °C reading on August 17 illustrates how quickly local conditions can shift, yet the latest runs lack a comparable warm anomaly for the coming day. Traders therefore weight the central bins most heavily, with new 12z–00z model updates the next likely catalyst for repricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions