**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日巴黎最高溫度？
8月22日巴黎最高溫度？
23°C 51%
24°C 32%
22°C 14%
21°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
51%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 32%
22°C 14%
21°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
19°C or below
$35 交易量
<1%
20°C
$35 交易量
1%
21°C
$35 交易量
6%
22°C
$47 交易量
14%
23°C
$208 交易量
51%
24°C
$69 交易量
32%
25°C
$50 交易量
6%
26°C
$28 交易量
3%
27°C
$75 交易量
1%
28°C
$85 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$804結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$804結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions